Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 189.095789 217.946896 250.555336 290.304596 337.670424 392.576011 461.431586
2025-10-12 154.646351 192.872313 240.317316 304.199545 388.982632 499.085760 655.275217
2025-10-19 129.711691 170.556061 224.576155 302.524276 414.252019 571.975553 817.655036
2025-10-26 115.819205 158.973257 219.101539 311.032693 451.743834 665.375703 1027.200390
2025-11-02 104.192100 148.204125 212.260716 315.136174 481.795066 751.580668 1244.365303
2025-11-09 95.244713 139.781899 207.148848 320.215671 513.088805 844.397997 1494.358504
2025-11-16 86.777893 130.840311 199.756459 319.992275 534.748495 924.001875 1739.690440
2025-11-23 79.515752 122.823602 192.630942 318.793045 553.890144 1001.952413 2001.739173
2025-11-30 74.196431 117.274752 188.743007 322.386625 581.965712 1101.942789 2338.182220
2025-12-07 66.996683 107.821019 177.104149 310.217492 577.510771 1135.042497 2531.883198
2025-12-14 62.022274 101.649609 170.467024 306.397165 588.878533 1203.501207 2831.352714
2025-12-21 58.550871 97.740255 167.403496 308.953117 613.717901 1306.713211 3253.635601
2025-12-28 57.044351 97.576526 171.903806 328.795847 683.291671 1540.009939 4155.670419
2026-01-04 54.991955 96.256513 174.195137 344.836583 748.915835 1786.087392 5230.922742
2026-01-11 51.177789 91.200054 168.559166 342.893705 771.482532 1926.628815 6040.718697
2026-01-18 48.965070 88.971293 168.272921 352.754392 825.594314 2172.210118 7370.111330
2026-01-25 46.480870 85.940014 165.948519 357.512613 867.624713 2396.769832 8768.532234
2026-02-01 44.325276 83.345252 164.222418 363.404828 914.234460 2652.554739 10487.213467
2026-02-08 41.871758 79.898539 160.253028 363.145636 943.498500 2862.233710 12160.795344
2026-02-15 39.558917 76.531271 156.086432 361.754334 969.302151 3070.323038 14007.379605
2026-02-22 37.839314 74.267680 154.160423 365.923885 1013.383484 3364.085104 16607.950335
2026-03-01 35.048345 69.450506 145.861745 351.809311 996.271560 3415.035874 17812.157118
2026-03-08 33.112318 66.357192 141.311728 347.381201 1010.371671 3600.429578 20093.970241